SpaceWorks Review Shows growth in Nano/Microsat Market
Hello reader!
It follows one communicates
published on the day (02/20) in the website of “Parabolic Arc” highlighting
that SpaceWorks review
shows sharp growth expected in Nano and Microsat Market.
Duda Falcão
News
SpaceWorks
Review Shows Sharp Growth
Expected
in Nano- and Microsat Market
Doug Messier
February 20, 2013, at 4:50 pm
(Credit: Virgin Galactic)
Artist conception of WhiteKnightTwo and LauncherOne. |
SpaceWorks
Enterprise has released an update to its nano- and micro-satellite market
analysis study that indicates that between 121 to 188 spacecraft weighing 1-50
kg will need to be launched in 2020. This is a significant increase from
the 33 satellites launched last year.
“The Nano/Microsatellite Market Assessment by SpaceWorks
shows that nano/microsatellite launches have grown by an average of 8.6% per year
since 2000, with an expected 16.8% growth per year over the next 7 years
(2013-2020),” according to a SpaceWorks press release.
“Small satellites continue to gain traction as their utility becomes
apparent to a diverse user base,” stated Mr. Dominic DePasquale, Director of
Washington D.C. Operations for SpaceWorks. “Our quantitative research confirms
that small satellites have proven their value and that the market is likely
entering a growth phase. We offer our study’s summary presentation as a
resource for the community and for those interested in understanding this
market better.”
The report is based upon publicly announced nano- and
micro-satellite projects as well as projections. So, it might not cover all of
the projects currently underway, particularly military ones that are being kept
secret.
“Analysis of trends by sector show that
nano/microsatellite development continues to be led by the civil sector
(including academic), but the defense/intelligence community is showing
increased interest and involvement,” the report states. “Analysis of trends by
purpose suggests that applications for nano/microsatellites are diversifying,
with increased use in the future for science, Earth observation, and
reconnaissance missions.”
The report included some interesting
information on the launch vehicles now being used for sending these satellites
into space.
The interesting thing about the above charts
is that there are no dedicated launch vehicles for nano-and micro-satellites.
These satellites are primarily launched as secondary payloads; in some case,
they might be clustered together on smaller launch vehicles.
This raises an interesting question, which
the study doesn’t address, of what happens if new launch vehicles aimed at
these market segments become available over the next seven years. The table
below, which I compiled, shows launch vehicles that are now under development
around the world aimed at launching payloads weighing up to 250 kg. (If I have
left any projects off the list, please let me know and I’ll update this table.)
Small, Nano, Micro and
Cube Satellite Launchers in Development
|
||||
Booster Name
|
Builder(s)
& Supporting Agencies |
Payload to LEO or SSO
|
First Flight(s)
|
|
Haas 2
|
ARCA
|
400 kg
(880 lbs.) |
Unknown
|
|
Unknown
|
Swiss Space
Group (S3)
|
250+ kg
(550+ lbs.) |
2017(?)
|
|
Super Strypi (a.k.a., SPARK)
|
Aerojet, Sandia National Laboratories &
University of Hawaii/DOD Office of Operationally Responsive Space
|
250 kg
(550 lbs.) |
2013
|
|
Satellite
Launch Vehicle (VLS-1)
|
Brazilian Space Agency (AEB) with Russian
assistance
|
250 kg
(550 lbs.) |
2013
2014 2015 |
|
LauncherOne
|
Virgin
Galactic
|
225 kg
(500 lbs.) |
2016
|
|
Neptune 5,
Neptune 9
|
Interorbital
Systems
|
30 kg
(66 lbs.) 70 kg (154 lbs.) |
Unknown
|
|
ALASA Program
|
Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Virgin Galactic,
Northrop Grumman, Ventions LLC & Space Information Laboratories LLC/DARPA
|
45.4 kg
(100 lbs.) |
Unknown
|
|
North Star 1
(NS-1)
|
NAMMO, Norwegian Space Centre, ESA
|
10-40 kg
(22 to 88 lbs.) |
2017
|
|
SWORDS
|
U.S. Army
|
25 kg
(55 lbs.) |
2013
|
|
GOLauncher 2
|
Generation Orbit Launch Services &
Space Propulsion Group
|
5 to 30 kg
(11 to 66 lbs.) |
2018
|
|
Minimum Cost
Launch System
|
Whittinghill
Aerospace
|
Nanosats
|
Unknown
|
|
Lynx
|
XCOR
Aerospace
|
Microsats
|
2015 or 2016
|
|
Microsat
Launch Vehicle (VLM)
|
Brazilian Space Agency (AEB), German Space
Agency (DLR)
|
Microsats
|
2015
|
|
Long March Micro Launch Vehicle (LM-MLV)
|
China Aerospace Science and Technology
Corporation/China National Space Administration
|
Microsats
|
Unknown
|
(Table updated on 2/21 with NS-1 rocket, Haas 2,
Neptune, and LM-MLV rockets. A special shout out to Theo
Pirard of the Space Information Center.)
The larger vehicles in this table would be capable
of launching individual small satellites as well as secondary payloads. The
Super Strypi (SPARK), for example, can be configured to carry one or two small
satellites as well as multiple CubeSats using the NASA Ames Payload Adapter and
Deployer (PAD). The precise number of CubeSats depends upon their size and the number
of small satellites carried on the mission.
Rideshare arrangements help to spread out
costs among different satellite producers. However, they limit flexibility on
launch dates because of the need to complete and integrate all the payloads.
There are also limitations on specific orbits that can be reached. If the
primary payload is going one place, the secondary ones are going there, too.
Even with that limitation, rideshare
arrangements on the small launch vehicles shown above are likely to be more frequent,
less complicated and much less costly than the larger rockets they ride on now.
That could really open up the market for nano- and micro-satellites as
secondary payloads on these launches.
Dedicated launch vehicles aimed at putting
individual satellites into orbit will offer far more flexibility, albeit with
greatly reduced payloads. With the Lynx and GoLauncher 2, for example, the
timing issue would shift largely to when an individual satellite is ready for
integration with the rocket. These vehicles also offer the opportunity to place
a satellite into a very precise orbit almost on demand. The impact of have that
type of service could really make this segment of the satellite market boom.
These smaller launch vehicles will have the
same chicken-or-the-egg question that all new launch vehicles face. If you
build the rockets, will there be enough payloads to support a thriving market?
Or does one have to wait for the payload demand to increase?
My guess is if the rockets prove to be
affordable, reliable and can be launched frequently, then the number of
payloads are likely to increase significantly enough to support a thriving
market. Especially given the increased sophistication of very small satellites
and the reduced cost and size of their components.
Source: Website of Parabolic
Arc - http://www.parabolicarc.com
Comentário: Pois é leitor
apesar dessa notícia já ser um pouco antiga resolvi trazê-la para o blog por
considerar que a mesma poderia ser útil aos profissionais do IAE que estão
trabalhando nos projetos do VLS-1 e VLM-1, além é claro para os profissionais daquelas
empresas que tem projetos de veículos lançadores para esse nicho de mercado,
como a Edge of Space e a Acrux Aerospace Technologies. Espero que essa matéria
possa de alguma forma ser útil a esses profissionais.
A essa altura, o Brasil deveria estar investindo nesse tipo de veículo lançador, onde um aviaão especial vela um foguete à grande altitude e de lá ele parte para colocar sua carga em órbita.
ResponderExcluirFica muito difícil para os "foguetes convencionais" concorrerem com esse tipo de veículo, onde a maior parte do peso do veículo como um todo, é reaproveitado.
Para o VLM concorrer nesse nicho, vai ter que ser muito bom e barato mesmo, se não...